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Market share for "distressed" properties continues to shrink

The real estate industry California Association of Realtors trade group is out with its latest report on “distressed” property sales, analyzing foreclosures and short sales (in which a bank accepts a payoff amount less than what is owed), finding that both continue to drop as a percentage of the overall housing market, largely due to rising prices.

The total of all distressed property sales accounted for 21.8 percent of all sales statewide last month, down from 24.4 in April and more than halved from the 44.2 percent of the market in May 2012. REO sales, in which a bank re-sells a foreclosed property, fell from 22.8 percent of the overall market a year ago to 7.3 percent last month, only the second time (the first being April 2013) that bank-owned properties accounted for less than one in ten overall sales since 2007.

In San Diego, where home prices have continued to outpace national indicators, the share of distressed sales is even lower at seven percent of the overall market, down from ten percent a month ago and less than a third of the 23 percent reported a year ago.

Industry insiders have pointed to delays in the foreclosure process as both a reason for the decrease in distressed sales (three-quarters of the drop can be attributed to fewer foreclosures) and the rise in housing prices.

With interest rates on the rise, however, it’s debatable whether prices can continue to rise as more expensive loans price potential buyers out of the market. Average mortgage rates have risen over a matter of weeks from the high 3 percent range into the mid-4s for a 30 year fixed-rate mortgage, meaning a house purchased at the same price a month ago could cost buyers thousands more per year in mortgage payments.

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The real estate industry California Association of Realtors trade group is out with its latest report on “distressed” property sales, analyzing foreclosures and short sales (in which a bank accepts a payoff amount less than what is owed), finding that both continue to drop as a percentage of the overall housing market, largely due to rising prices.

The total of all distressed property sales accounted for 21.8 percent of all sales statewide last month, down from 24.4 in April and more than halved from the 44.2 percent of the market in May 2012. REO sales, in which a bank re-sells a foreclosed property, fell from 22.8 percent of the overall market a year ago to 7.3 percent last month, only the second time (the first being April 2013) that bank-owned properties accounted for less than one in ten overall sales since 2007.

In San Diego, where home prices have continued to outpace national indicators, the share of distressed sales is even lower at seven percent of the overall market, down from ten percent a month ago and less than a third of the 23 percent reported a year ago.

Industry insiders have pointed to delays in the foreclosure process as both a reason for the decrease in distressed sales (three-quarters of the drop can be attributed to fewer foreclosures) and the rise in housing prices.

With interest rates on the rise, however, it’s debatable whether prices can continue to rise as more expensive loans price potential buyers out of the market. Average mortgage rates have risen over a matter of weeks from the high 3 percent range into the mid-4s for a 30 year fixed-rate mortgage, meaning a house purchased at the same price a month ago could cost buyers thousands more per year in mortgage payments.

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Fewer foreclosure filings

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March Housing Numbers: Sales Down, Values Up

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4S Ranch Allied Gardens Alpine Baja Balboa Park Bankers Hill Barrio Logan Bay Ho Bay Park Black Mountain Ranch Blossom Valley Bonita Bonsall Borrego Springs Boulevard Campo Cardiff-by-the-Sea Carlsbad Carmel Mountain Carmel Valley Chollas View Chula Vista City College City Heights Clairemont College Area Coronado CSU San Marcos Cuyamaca College Del Cerro Del Mar Descanso Downtown San Diego Eastlake East Village El Cajon Emerald Hills Encanto Encinitas Escondido Fallbrook Fletcher Hills Golden Hill Grant Hill Grantville Grossmont College Guatay Harbor Island Hillcrest Imperial Beach Imperial Valley Jacumba Jamacha-Lomita Jamul Julian Kearny Mesa Kensington La Jolla Lakeside La Mesa Lemon Grove Leucadia Liberty Station Lincoln Acres Lincoln Park Linda Vista Little Italy Logan Heights Mesa College Midway District MiraCosta College Miramar Miramar College Mira Mesa Mission Beach Mission Hills Mission Valley Mountain View Mount Hope Mount Laguna National City Nestor Normal Heights North Park Oak Park Ocean Beach Oceanside Old Town Otay Mesa Pacific Beach Pala Palomar College Palomar Mountain Paradise Hills Pauma Valley Pine Valley Point Loma Point Loma Nazarene Potrero Poway Rainbow Ramona Rancho Bernardo Rancho Penasquitos Rancho San Diego Rancho Santa Fe Rolando San Carlos San Marcos San Onofre Santa Ysabel Santee San Ysidro Scripps Ranch SDSU Serra Mesa Shelltown Shelter Island Sherman Heights Skyline Solana Beach Sorrento Valley Southcrest South Park Southwestern College Spring Valley Stockton Talmadge Temecula Tierrasanta Tijuana UCSD University City University Heights USD Valencia Park Valley Center Vista Warner Springs
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