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County Retail Sales Dropping Sharply; Tax Receipts Will Feel It

Inflation-adjusted taxable retail sales in the county dropped 2.4 percent in the second quarter of last year, according to figures compiled by the San Diego Institute for Policy Research. In the first quarter of 2007, they were down 0.9 percent. In 2003 and 2004, these quarterly figures were sometimes up more than 10 percent. In last year's second quarter, building materials sales were down 14.5 percent, and new cars were off 8.4 percent. Over the last three years, county taxable retail sales have dropped 2.9 percent; the number of businesses has dropped by 2,900 in the same period. This was happening while county population was rising 2.3 percent. "The slowdown of consumer spending in San Diego is clearly a result of the bursting housing bubble and global credit crunch," says Kelly Cunningham, economist for the institute. "Consumers who refinanced or took out equity loans on their homes to free up cash for spending are now mostly spent out and highly leveraged in debt."

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Inflation-adjusted taxable retail sales in the county dropped 2.4 percent in the second quarter of last year, according to figures compiled by the San Diego Institute for Policy Research. In the first quarter of 2007, they were down 0.9 percent. In 2003 and 2004, these quarterly figures were sometimes up more than 10 percent. In last year's second quarter, building materials sales were down 14.5 percent, and new cars were off 8.4 percent. Over the last three years, county taxable retail sales have dropped 2.9 percent; the number of businesses has dropped by 2,900 in the same period. This was happening while county population was rising 2.3 percent. "The slowdown of consumer spending in San Diego is clearly a result of the bursting housing bubble and global credit crunch," says Kelly Cunningham, economist for the institute. "Consumers who refinanced or took out equity loans on their homes to free up cash for spending are now mostly spent out and highly leveraged in debt."

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4S Ranch Allied Gardens Alpine Baja Balboa Park Bankers Hill Barrio Logan Bay Ho Bay Park Black Mountain Ranch Blossom Valley Bonita Bonsall Borrego Springs Boulevard Campo Cardiff-by-the-Sea Carlsbad Carmel Mountain Carmel Valley Chollas View Chula Vista City College City Heights Clairemont College Area Coronado CSU San Marcos Cuyamaca College Del Cerro Del Mar Descanso Downtown San Diego Eastlake East Village El Cajon Emerald Hills Encanto Encinitas Escondido Fallbrook Fletcher Hills Golden Hill Grant Hill Grantville Grossmont College Guatay Harbor Island Hillcrest Imperial Beach Imperial Valley Jacumba Jamacha-Lomita Jamul Julian Kearny Mesa Kensington La Jolla Lakeside La Mesa Lemon Grove Leucadia Liberty Station Lincoln Acres Lincoln Park Linda Vista Little Italy Logan Heights Mesa College Midway District MiraCosta College Miramar Miramar College Mira Mesa Mission Beach Mission Hills Mission Valley Mountain View Mount Hope Mount Laguna National City Nestor Normal Heights North Park Oak Park Ocean Beach Oceanside Old Town Otay Mesa Pacific Beach Pala Palomar College Palomar Mountain Paradise Hills Pauma Valley Pine Valley Point Loma Point Loma Nazarene Potrero Poway Rainbow Ramona Rancho Bernardo Rancho Penasquitos Rancho San Diego Rancho Santa Fe Rolando San Carlos San Marcos San Onofre Santa Ysabel Santee San Ysidro Scripps Ranch SDSU Serra Mesa Shelltown Shelter Island Sherman Heights Skyline Solana Beach Sorrento Valley Southcrest South Park Southwestern College Spring Valley Stockton Talmadge Temecula Tierrasanta Tijuana UCSD University City University Heights USD Valencia Park Valley Center Vista Warner Springs
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