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San Diego unions push transaction tax

Here's a pretty good link to a screen shot of the prices over a very few seconds of HFT trades. http://www.nanex.net/StrangeDays/08022011/ELNK_08… Luckily they don't show the bid/asked, the spoof quotes, and a few other things that would make this chart look like spaghetti.
— September 29, 2011 11:03 a.m.

Alfred Rappaport and Todd Buchholz take sides on risk-taking

All my life, I've heard the familiar refrain on how "So and so is such a lucky person, they always win." I've been to the track and seen guys sweep the whole card of trifectas, much to the chagrin of the losers who attribute this feat to that elusive concept called luck. I've seen people throw away all of their money in pursuit of the long shot, afterwards labeling themselves as "Having a streak of bad luck." I've also seen people make 7 passes in a row on the crap tables and call it a streak of good luck. The concept of luck always intrigued me, and caused me many sleepless nights in grad school trying to prove, or disprove luck's existence. After a few months of thought, I eventually came up with a very elegant proof that denied the existence of luck. Ever since that moment, equipped with a new mind set, I have viewed all events as random occurrences that are subject to the laws of probability. This idea has served me very well over the past few decades, and allowed me to eliminate one more emotional distraction regarding my management of risk in trading, at the track, or at the poker table or wherever. I have simply denied the existence of luck for the past 35 years and chalked up all occurrences to probability and removing any emotional baggage. The rational side of my brain has overtaken the feeling side of my brain and this (small delusion?) works for me. If one wants to play around with and study random occurrences and very large numbers, this Poisson Distribution tool will give you hours and hours of fun. http://www.anesi.com/poisson.htm
— September 29, 2011 10:19 a.m.

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